The Grinder vs. Duotrope

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klaatu
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The Grinder vs. Duotrope

Postby klaatu » Thu Jan 01, 2015 4:55 pm

Here's something I've been wondering about recently.

When Duotrope became subscription only, one of the statements made was that with paying customers they expected to see an improved data accuracy, and fewer outliers.

Perhaps Duotrope now has a higher percentage of (not sure how to phrase this lol) 'serious/better' writers as customers, that is those who are willing to pay because they're making some reasonable income from writing. Would this skew acceptance figures upwards? And since these writers are not reporting on Grinder, does this push theirs down?

Perhaps with more 'new/emerging' writers (ie, those not yet getting published as much) does this mean reported response times are shorter on Duotrope? Those who are not as serious, as Duotrope originally claimed, do not complete the rejected section of their subs as often. Duotrope also suggested many people withdrew and entry rather than mark it as rejected.

Hmmm - I think I'm starting to ramble here.

My question, and this is to someone who has access to Duotrope, is this:

Looking at a couple of samples (Analog, Asimov's, as well as some small press and semi-pro markets) what is the variance on the data recorded by the two sites?

Just curious. This may determine whether I subscribe duotrope or not. Are there any other advantages over Grinder?

Thanks to anyone prepared to have a look.

Steve
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Martin L. Shoemaker
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Re: The Grinder vs. Duotrope

Postby Martin L. Shoemaker » Thu Jan 01, 2015 6:32 pm

Analog, Grinder:
Accuracy: There are 241 completed reports in the past 12 months.
Averages and Boundaries: 33 min | 134.44 mean avg | 133 median | 327 max days
Responded: 97.93%
Accepted: 2.90%
Rejected: 95.02% (14.41% of rejections are personal)
Rewrites: -
Dead Letters: 2.07%
Lost/Returned: -
Never Responded: -
Withdrawn: 2.07%
Pending: 56 pending responses (0 min | 68 mean avg | 51 median | 363 max days waiting)

Analog, Duotrope:
Accuracy: We have received 277 reports within the past 12 months, not including pending responses (see below).
Days Reported: 0 min | 139.3 mean avg | 137.0 median | 300 max days (37.6 std dev)
Responses: 96.03 %
Acceptances: 2.89 % (149.8 avg. days per acceptance) !
Rejections: 93.14 % (139.2 avg. days per rejection) | 16.28 % personal, 68.99 % form, 14.73 % unspecified
Rewrite Requests: -
Non-Responses: 3.97 %
Lost/Returned: 0.72 % (173.5 avg. days before reporting submissions as lost or returned)
Never Responded: 1.44 % (177.5 avg. days before reporting submissions as never responded)
Author Withdrawals: 1.81 % (81.2 avg. days per withdrawal by author)
Pending: 68 responses are pending (2 min | 107.7 mean avg | 55.0 median | 1244 max days waiting | 187.5 std dev) !

Asimov's, Grinder:
Accuracy: There are 618 completed reports in the past 12 months.
Averages and Boundaries: 0 min | 45.33 mean avg | 42 median | 200 max days
Responded: 99.84%
Accepted: 1.62%
Rejected: 98.22% (12.19% of rejections are personal)
Rewrites: -
Dead Letters: 0.16%
Lost/Returned: -
Never Responded: 0.16%
Withdrawn: -
Pending: 62 pending responses (0 min | 30 mean avg | 22 median | 311 max days waiting)

Asimov's, Duotrope:
Accuracy: We have received 625 reports within the past 12 months, not including pending responses (see below).
Days Reported: 0 min | 42.4 mean avg | 40.0 median | 134 max days (28.0 std dev)
Responses: 99.04 %
Acceptances: 0.96 % (75.0 avg. days per acceptance) !
Rejections: 98.08 % (41.9 avg. days per rejection) | 13.38 % personal, 76.84 % form, 9.79 % unspecified
Rewrite Requests: -
Non-Responses: 0.96 %
Lost/Returned: 0.16 % (83.0 avg. days before reporting submissions as lost or returned)
Never Responded: 0.32 % (116.0 avg. days before reporting submissions as never responded)
Author Withdrawals: 0.48 % (16.7 avg. days per withdrawal by author)
Pending: 68 responses are pending (2 min | 62.0 mean avg | 24.0 median | 783 max days waiting | 118.3 std dev) !

Andromeda Spaceways Inflight Magazine, Grinder
Accuracy: There are 197 completed reports in the past 12 months.
Averages and Boundaries: 2 min | 39.24 mean avg | 15 median | 267 max days
Responded: 97.46%
Accepted: 1.01%
Rejected: 96.44% (56.84% of rejections are personal)
Rewrites: -
Dead Letters: 2.53%
Lost/Returned: -
Never Responded: 1.01%
Withdrawn: 1.52%
Pending: 26 pending responses (1 min | 27 mean avg | 22 median | 251 max days waiting)

Andromeda Spaceways Inflight Magazine, Duotrope
Accuracy: We have received 304 reports within the past 12 months, not including pending responses (see below).
Days Reported: 1 min | 32.6 mean avg | 13.0 median | 155 max days (41.5 std dev)
Responses: 98.36 %
Acceptances: 0.00 % !
Rejections: 98.36 % (32.9 avg. days per rejection) | 50.84 % personal, 39.46 % form, 9.70 % unspecified
Rewrite Requests: -
Non-Responses: 1.65 %
Lost/Returned: -
Never Responded: 0.33 % (84.0 avg. days before reporting submissions as never responded)
Author Withdrawals: 1.32 % (1.5 avg. days per withdrawal by author)
Pending: 44 responses are pending (4 min | 60.3 mean avg | 30.5 median | 525 max days waiting | 89.4 std dev) !

Grinder Site Statistics
Markets: 3521 (1379 open)
Markets Recently Updated: 16
Markets Recently Added: 7
Users: 5324
Submissions: 63795

Duotrope Site Statistics
Markets: 4947
Activity in the Past 7 Days:
4255 submissions reported
1253 listings checked
491 listings updated
28 new listings added
Users & Subscribers
Registered user accounts increased by 23% in 2013.
Submissions Data
Over 225,000 submissions were reported in 2013.
We retained 85% of the number of submission reports in 2012.
Unreliable data decreased by over 55% in 2013.
New Listings and Updates
In 2013, we added around 1,800 new listings.
Also in 2013, we were able to make some much-needed additions to our staff. With their help, we made 38% more market listing updates in 2013 than we did in 2012, averaging around 184 updates per weekday.
Martin L. Shoemaker
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Re: The Grinder vs. Duotrope

Postby klaatu » Thu Jan 01, 2015 6:44 pm

Thanks, Martin.

A quick scan suggests the stats are fairly similar.


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Re: The Grinder vs. Duotrope

Postby Sisyphean » Thu Jan 01, 2015 8:45 pm

I pay for Duotrope a couple times a year. My impression is Grinder is a sci-fi site, but Duotrope is more all-purpose, maybe more literary.

In particular, as someone who straddles sci-fi and literary, I'd say Grinder's literary statistics are almost non-existent compared to Duotrope's. The sci-fi stats are roughly comparable, but Grinder tends to have higher acceptance rates in sci-fi. Seems to defeat the idea that Duotrope is for the more serious (sci-fi) writers. My guess is that on Duotrope you have a lot of people who actually write in some other genre submitting to sci-fi magazines.

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Re: The Grinder vs. Duotrope

Postby steffenwolf » Fri Jan 02, 2015 7:51 pm

Hi everyone,
This is David Steffen, co-founder and administrator of the Grinder. Don't let my presence put a damper on the conversation by any means. But wanted to chime in a few things.

1. The Grinder is more SF heavy than Duotrope. But this isn't because the Grinder focuses more on SF, it's because the user-base that the Grinder has attracted is more SF-heavy than literary-heavy. And that's because the two of us who launched it are SF writers and so our personal outreach hits much more SF than others. I'll make a listing for anything that meets the requirements for a market listing and genre is not a factor.

2. Duotrope does have more users, the numbers are in the same ballpark on SF markets but as you note not as much for literary markets.

3. Our feature set is still expanding, and we already have some shiny features that Duotrope doesn't--the graphs on the market listings are one of my favorites, as well as the Recent MArket Activity list on the front page which shows registered users the recent activity for the markets where they have pending listings all in one spot.

4. Duotrope's claim that their statistics are "better" because of the quality of their users they attract... I have always found that statement questionable. Why does a paying user provide more quality data than a user who doesn't? Spurious at best. And, as a frugal person on a budget, I don't see why paying more implies that this is a "better" user in some way--there's a missing bit in the logic to explain why "paying more money" implies "better quality of writer".

Feel free to ask me questions, make suggestions, otherwise carry on.

Sisyphean wrote:I pay for Duotrope a couple times a year. My impression is Grinder is a sci-fi site, but Duotrope is more all-purpose, maybe more literary.

In particular, as someone who straddles sci-fi and literary, I'd say Grinder's literary statistics are almost non-existent compared to Duotrope's. The sci-fi stats are roughly comparable, but Grinder tends to have higher acceptance rates in sci-fi. Seems to defeat the idea that Duotrope is for the more serious (sci-fi) writers. My guess is that on Duotrope you have a lot of people who actually write in some other genre submitting to sci-fi magazines.
David Steffen
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Re: The Grinder vs. Duotrope

Postby steffenwolf » Fri Jan 02, 2015 8:24 pm

Also, Duotrope fully supports poetry and nonfiction readings--which the Grinder doesn't yet.
David Steffen

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Re: The Grinder vs. Duotrope

Postby george nik. » Sat Jan 03, 2015 1:16 pm

David, thanks for providing us with the Grinder. I've been a user throughout 2014 and I don't miss Duotrope one bit.

Keep up the good work. wotf008
George Nikolopoulos
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Re: The Grinder vs. Duotrope

Postby T. R. Napper » Sat Jan 03, 2015 8:14 pm

Personally I've found Duotrope a superior service. I'm on a very frugal budget, but I'm always willing to use my spare change to put money into an industry that has struggled in recent years. Mostly this involves buying new books whenever I can afford it, with the occasional SF magazine thrown in.

But if it is a submission tracking service such as Duotrope - which in my view is the best one going around by far - then I'm willing to support that, as well.
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Re: The Grinder vs. Duotrope

Postby Rebecca Birch » Sat Jan 03, 2015 8:20 pm

I used Duotrope until it went paid, then switched to the shiny new Grinder. I liked Duotrope, but I love the Grinder's shiny graphs with my purple dots venturing through the red hills of doom. wotf007
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Re: The Grinder vs. Duotrope

Postby Ishmael » Sun Jan 04, 2015 5:04 am

I have no experience of Duotrope, so I can't make a comparison. However I can report positive effects of The Grinder include very significantly increasing my submission rate by pointing me in the direction of new potential markets that sometimes I hadn't even heard of.

For residents outside the US it can be quite difficult to identify and get a feel for US publications. Since these dominate the market this is a big problem. The result was a very slow turn around rate whilst I struggled to find another home for a rejected story. Sometimes I gave up on stories after a few rejections because the process was so very slow that I just forgot about them.

I only recently signed up for The Grinder, but I currently have 29 stories on submission (from flash to 12,000 words) and one pitched to an imprint, making 30 simultaneously in the wild. Of course this volume tends to mean that I get rejections in batches, but I also get positive vibes with more frequency too. It remains to be seen whether any of this turns into sales. These have been elusive. At least I know I'm trying my best though.
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Re: The Grinder vs. Duotrope

Postby E.CaimanSands » Sun Jan 04, 2015 9:21 am

The Grinder is full of awesomeness. wotf006

I don't miss Duotrope at all. Well, not much. Well, only occasionally. Well, okay, maybe a teeny tiny bit. Well, okay, quite a lot when your story is 119 days at AE and as such is the longest outstanding sub on the grinder and you can't help wondering what the figures are on Duotrope... wotf23

Um. wotf030 There there. *Thunk. Thunk*

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Re: The Grinder vs. Duotrope

Postby T. R. Napper » Sun Jan 04, 2015 6:54 pm

Ishmael wrote:I only recently signed up for The Grinder, but I currently have 29 stories on submission (from flash to 12,000 words) and one pitched to an imprint, making 30 simultaneously in the wild. Of course this volume tends to mean that I get rejections in batches, but I also get positive vibes with more frequency too. It remains to be seen whether any of this turns into sales. These have been elusive. At least I know I'm trying my best though.


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Re: The Grinder vs. Duotrope

Postby Ishmael » Mon Jan 05, 2015 3:33 am

T. R. Napper wrote:29 stories? Mate, you're a machine.


Not really. A lot of them a re-writes of earlier pieces that had been stalled for want of a market and the shortest is a mere 350 word flash piece. However I did send two more out yesterday, one of which is a 13,500 novelette, heavily revised from an earlier WotF submission from which great things were expected but not obtained. So I'm now 31 stories and one pitch in the wild. Five of the stories are now orange and five red on The Grinder, but I attribute a lot of that to seasonal factors. I just hope none are actually lost without trace - that wouldn't be the first time.

At this time of year in my part of the world it's very cold and hardly ever proper daylight. This is an incentive to stay in and write. In the summer I probably shan't do much. Unless, that is, the market suddenly realises my genius and demands more.

If a breakthrough depends on volume and determination not to quit, this tactic will work. If my stuff really isn't commercial then of course it won't. Either way, the results will soon be statistically significant.

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